Pre-tourney Rankings
Summit League
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
145 South Dakota 0.0%   20 - 11 12 - 4 20 - 11 12 - 4 +1.1      -0.2 172 +1.3 127 72.4 69 +1.9 131 +4.3 1
148 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0%   16 - 12 8 - 8 16 - 12 8 - 8 +1.0      +2.9 90 -1.9 226 76.4 24 -0.2 162 -2.1 6
167 North Dakota St. 0.0%   17 - 11 11 - 5 17 - 11 11 - 5 0.0      +0.2 160 -0.2 181 65.5 233 +1.7 134 +2.7 2
169 Nebraska Omaha 0.0%   17 - 14 9 - 7 17 - 14 9 - 7 -0.1      +2.3 105 -2.4 241 80.2 9 +1.1 142 -0.3 3
175 South Dakota St. 100.0%   16   16 - 16 8 - 8 16 - 16 8 - 8 -0.4      +4.0 67 -4.4 292 66.9 208 -0.5 172 -1.9 5
194 Denver 0.0%   16 - 14 8 - 8 16 - 14 8 - 8 -1.7      +1.4 129 -3.1 256 65.7 228 -1.5 190 -1.7 4
205 IUPUI 0.0%   12 - 18 7 - 9 12 - 18 7 - 9 -2.8      +1.1 140 -3.9 282 71.1 94 -3.2 217 -3.1 7
234 Oral Roberts 0.0%   6 - 22 4 - 12 6 - 22 4 - 12 -4.6      -0.2 171 -4.4 294 70.6 104 -7.1 270 -8.0 9
296 Western Illinois 0.0%   6 - 20 5 - 11 6 - 20 5 - 11 -8.7      -5.5 306 -3.1 258 68.7 148 -9.1 303 -5.4 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
South Dakota 1.0 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 4.0 100.0
North Dakota St. 2.0 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 3.0 100.0
South Dakota St. 4.0 100.0
Denver 4.0 100.0
IUPUI 7.0 100.0
Oral Roberts 9.0 100.0
Western Illinois 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
South Dakota 12 - 4 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne 8 - 8 100.0
North Dakota St. 11 - 5 100.0
Nebraska Omaha 9 - 7 100.0
South Dakota St. 8 - 8 100.0
Denver 8 - 8 100.0
IUPUI 7 - 9 100.0
Oral Roberts 4 - 12 100.0
Western Illinois 5 - 11 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
South Dakota 100.0% 100.0
Purdue Fort Wayne
North Dakota St.
Nebraska Omaha
South Dakota St.
Denver
IUPUI
Oral Roberts
Western Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 16   0.2 39.8 60.0
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
South Dakota 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
North Dakota St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nebraska Omaha 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
South Dakota St. 100.0% 18.0% 92.3% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Denver 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
IUPUI 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Oral Roberts 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 92.3% 0.9 7.7 92.3
2nd Round 2.2% 0.0 97.8 2.2
Sweet Sixteen 0.2% 0.0 99.8 0.2
Elite Eight 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0